hindsight bias

16:10 Mar 21, 2006

This question was closed without grading. Reason: Other

English to Romanian translations [PRO]
Government / Politics / istorie, filosofie, psihologie

English term or phrase: hindsight bias

"Few events have been more dependent on what ifs than the American Revolution. We are the product of a future that might not have been. What ifs have a further important function: They can eliminate what has been called "hindsight bias"".

http://encyclopedia.thefreedictionary.com/Hindsight bias
Hindsight bias, sometimes called the I-knew-it-all-along effect, is the inclination to see past events as being predictable and reasonable to expect, perhaps because they are more available than possible outcomes which did not occur. Subjects also tend to remember their own future predictions as being more accurate than they were after the fact. People are, in effect, biased by the knowledge of what has actually happened when evaluating its likelihood.

Hindsight bias has been demonstrated experimentally in a variety of settings, including politics, games and medicine.

It has been shown that examining possible alternatives may reduce the effects of this bias.

Momentan, varianta pe care am gasit-o eu este „tendinţă de înţelegere retrospectivă a unui eveniment”... Astept si sugestiile voastre!

Multumesc!

Bianca Fogarasi

Summary of answers provided

subiectivismul cunoaşterii deznodământului/finalului

lucca

3 +1

perspectivă/proiecţie aposteriori

Dan Butuza

1 +1

previzibilitatea retrospectiva

Alina Matei

Discussion entries: 2

Answers

1 hr confidence:

peer agreement (net): +1

previzibilitatea retrospectiva

Explanation:
Conform definitiei pe care ai dat-o , ar trebui sa fe ceva de genul asta, desi termenii sunt oarecum contradictorii. Cred ca reda mesajul :)

Mult noroc. Sper ca asta sa ajute (macar putin)

Alina Matei
Australia
Local time: 04:33
Works in field
Native speaker of:

Romanian

4 hrs confidence:

subiectivismul cunoaşterii deznodământului/finalului

Explanation:
Sau pooate altfel în loc de "subiectivism".

lucca
Romania
Local time: 22:03
Native speaker of: Romanian
PRO pts in category: 28

19 hrs confidence:

peer agreement (net): +1

perspectivă/proiecţie aposteriori

Explanation:
O idee...

Dan Butuza
Romania
Local time: 22:03
Native speaker of: Romanian
PRO pts in category: 8

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